Chris DuncanAll-Around

Lightweight · 15-3 · orthodox

Last 5
LWWWW
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
5'11"
180.34 cm
Age
33
Elo Rating
1587.8

Next fight: vs Drew Dober

Polymarket UFC 334: Gane vs Hokit · Sun, Nov 15, 2026 · 3 rounds

Model win probability
60%/40%
Duncan / Dober
Stat comparison between Chris Duncan and Drew Dober. A ▸ marks the better value where a higher or lower number is clearly better.
StatChris DuncanDrew Dober
Record15-329-15
Elo rating15881587
Age on fight night3338
Height177.8 cm172.72 cm
Reach180.34 cm177.8 cm
Strikes landed / min4.834.48
Strikes absorbed / min4.574.33
Takedowns / 15 min2.920.61
Takedown defense55%58%

Scouting report

Career stats ranked against 201 Lightweight fighters in our database with 5+ UFC fights. The tick marks the division median.

Strengths

  • Lands 4.83 significant strikes per minute — better than 86% of Lightweight fighters
  • Averages 2.92 takedowns per 15 minutes — better than 86% of Lightweight fighters

Weaknesses

  • Absorbs 4.57 significant strikes per minute — worse than 85% of Lightweight fighters
  • Avoids only 50% of opponents' significant strikes — worse than 80% of Lightweight fighters

Striking

  • Strikes landed / min
    4.83
    Top 14%
  • Striking accuracy
    45%
    Top 44%
  • Strikes absorbed / min
    4.57
    Bottom 15%
  • Striking defense
    50%
    Bottom 20%

Grappling

  • Takedowns / 15 min
    2.92
    Top 14%
  • Takedown accuracy
    40%
    Top 40%
  • Takedown defense
    55%
    Bottom 34%
  • Submission attempts / 15 min
    0.60
    Top 42%

Recent opponents

Last 5 opponents averaged Elo 1538, higher than 61% of Lightweight fighters. Ratings are each opponent's current Elo, not their rating on fight night. The tick marks this fighter's own Elo (1588).

Last 5 — Fight Time
05101520253:34Oki8:42Vucenic15:00Rebecki2:30McKinney8:14Moicano
Win Loss Draw/NC

Fight History

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan
2026-04-04 · Submission, R2 3:14
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
2025-12-06 · Submission, R1 2:30
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
2025-08-02 · Decision - Unanimous, R3 5:00
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
2025-03-22 · Submission, R2 3:42
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis
2024-09-28 · Submission, R1 3:34
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
2024-02-24 · Submission, R1 1:46
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
2023-07-22 · Decision - Unanimous, R3 5:00
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
2023-03-18 · Decision - Split, R3 5:00