#1Ilia TopuriaAll-AroundP4P #5

Lightweight · 17-1 · orthodox

Last 5

LWWWW

Height

5'7"

170.18 cm

Reach

5'9"

175.26 cm

Age

Elo Rating

1727.2

Next fight: vs Justin Gaethje

UFC — 2026-12-31 · Thu, Dec 31, 2026 · 3 rounds

Model win probability

72%/28%

Topuria / Gaethje

Stat comparison between Ilia Topuria and Justin Gaethje. A ▸ marks the better value where a higher or lower number is clearly better.
Stat	Ilia Topuria	Justin Gaethje
Record	17-1	28-5
Elo rating	1727	1732
Age on fight night	29	38
Height	170.18 cm	180.34 cm
Reach	175.26 cm	177.8 cm
Strikes landed / min	4.82	6.29
Strikes absorbed / min	3.97	6.83
Takedowns / 15 min	1.73	0.30
Takedown defense	95%	73%

Scouting report

Career stats ranked against 201 Lightweight fighters in our database with 5+ UFC fights. The tick marks the division median.

Strengths

Stops 95% of opponents' takedown attempts — better than 98% of Lightweight fighters
Completes 57% of their takedown attempts — better than 92% of Lightweight fighters
Lands 4.82 significant strikes per minute — better than 85% of Lightweight fighters

Weaknesses

No stat ranks in the bottom quarter of the division.

Striking

Strikes landed / min
4.82
Top 15%
Striking accuracy
50%
Top 19%
Strikes absorbed / min
3.97
Bottom 32%
Striking defense
62%
Top 18%

Grappling

Takedowns / 15 min
1.73
Top 41%
Takedown accuracy
57%
Top 8%
Takedown defense
95%
Top 2%
Submission attempts / 15 min
0.90
Top 25%

Recent opponents

Last 5 opponents averaged Elo 1728, higher than 99% of Lightweight fighters. Ratings are each opponent's current Elo, not their rating on fight night. The tick marks this fighter's own Elo (1727).