Justin GaethjeStrikerP4P #4

Lightweight · 28-5 · orthodox

Last 5

WWWLW

Height

5'11"

180.34 cm

Reach

5'10"

177.8 cm

Age

Elo Rating

1731.8

Next fight: vs Arman Tsarukyan

UFC — 2026-12-31 · Thu, Dec 31, 2026 · 3 rounds

Model win probability

28%/72%

Gaethje / Tsarukyan

Stat comparison between Justin Gaethje and Arman Tsarukyan. A ▸ marks the better value where a higher or lower number is clearly better.
Stat	Justin Gaethje	Arman Tsarukyan
Record	28-5	23-3
Elo rating	1732	1692
Age on fight night	38	30
Height	180.34 cm	170.18 cm
Reach	177.8 cm	182.88 cm
Strikes landed / min	6.29	3.85
Strikes absorbed / min	6.83	1.80
Takedowns / 15 min	0.30	3.26
Takedown defense	73%	75%

Scouting report

Career stats ranked against 201 Lightweight fighters in our database with 5+ UFC fights. The tick marks the division median.

Strengths

Lands 57% of the significant strikes they throw — better than 97% of Lightweight fighters
Lands 6.29 significant strikes per minute — better than 97% of Lightweight fighters

Weaknesses

Absorbs 6.83 significant strikes per minute — worse than 99% of Lightweight fighters
Averages just 0.30 takedowns per 15 minutes — worse than 91% of Lightweight fighters
Attempts just 0.00 submissions per 15 minutes — worse than 90% of Lightweight fighters

Striking

Strikes landed / min
6.29
Top 3%
Striking accuracy
57%
Top 3%
Strikes absorbed / min
6.83
Bottom 1%
Striking defense
50%
Bottom 20%

Grappling

Takedowns / 15 min
0.30
Bottom 9%
Takedown accuracy
26%
Bottom 19%
Takedown defense
73%
Top 30%
Submission attempts / 15 min
0.00
Bottom 10%

Recent opponents

Last 5 opponents averaged Elo 1696, higher than 98% of Lightweight fighters. Ratings are each opponent's current Elo, not their rating on fight night. The tick marks this fighter's own Elo (1732).